Learning from History to Prepare for Future Public Health Emergencies

August 18, 2025
by ISR Staff
Blog

Dr. Landry Ndriko Mayigane is a technical officer for health emergency preparedness and response at the World Health Organization (WHO) in Geneva, Switzerland. In his role, he provides support to countries across the world to strengthen emergency preparedness and response capacities. 

Dr. Mayigane recently spoke to the International Science Reserve about his work and how collaborations, like the ISR, can contribute to better responses to public health crises. The interview was undertaken in his personal capacity and not in his official WHO capacity. 

How did you get involved in emergency preparedness and response?   

I have over 20 years of experience working on health emergencies. My journey began by supporting Senegal in building its national emergency preparedness efforts for highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1). I went on to help West African countries respond to H5N1 when it was first declared on the continent in 2006, during my first UN assignment with the FAO’s Emergency Centre for Transboundary Animal Diseases.

In 2014, while working for the African Union, I led a complex response to the Ebola outbreak in Guinea. There, I supervised a team of over 120 multidisciplinary health workers from 11 countries. I was honored with a Medal of Service to Humanity by the AU Chairperson, H.E. Dr. Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma, in recognition of my bravery and leadership demonstrated during the outbreak. 

For nearly a decade, I have worked for WHO at both country and global levels. After Guinea, I moved to Mali to help the country build its capacity to prepare for and respond to health emergencies amid a compounded and protracted humanitarian crisis, particularly in the northern region. 

During the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic in July 2020, after relocating from Mali to the World Health Organization (WHO) headquarters in Switzerland in 2018, I led the development of a performance assessment tool known as the Intra-Action Review (IAR). This tool has been used globally to support course correction, continuous learning, and the improvement of national and subnational response strategies for the pandemic and other protracted emergencies. An analysis conducted in 2022 showed significant benefits from its implementation. As of 2 April 2025, 193 IARs have been conducted by 92 countries and reported to WHO. 

My current focus is on supporting countries in preventing, preparing for, and more effectively responding to future health emergencies—including the next pandemic—by building resilient learning systems. 

You recently co-authored a piece about learning from public health emergencies through the crisis of knowledge failure. Why is learning from history important?  

In public health, learning from history is crucial because it provides us with insights to guide future emergency responses. Past experiences reveal which strategies succeeded, highlight encountered challenges, and expose critical gaps in preparedness. By analyzing historical events, we can design resilient systems that are better equipped to handle emerging threats. We achieve this by leveraging the latest technology and developing systems that capture experiential knowledge from previous health emergencies. This approach creates a rich repository of lessons that bridges the gap between academic research and real-world practice. 

However, common approaches to learning in this field have significant limitations. Traditional methods often rely on retrospective analyses and published studies, which can delay the integration of valuable insights into current policies. This lag hinders timely improvements in emergency response. Moreover, these approaches tend to overlook the nuanced, context-specific experiences of frontline responders, resulting in strategies that may be overly generic and less effective when applied to complex, dynamic situations. An overemphasis on quantitative data can also obscure the qualitative insights essential for understanding the full scope of challenges faced during crises. 

Integrating historical lessons with experiential knowledge creates a more comprehensive learning process that fosters continuous improvement. This integration not only prevents the repetition of past mistakes but also promotes innovative, context-sensitive strategies for future outbreaks. Ultimately, embracing both quantitative analysis and qualitative wisdom strengthens public health systems, ensuring that our collective memory becomes a powerful tool in building a safer, more prepared global community. 

Moreover, by actively incorporating lessons learned into dynamic training and simulation exercises, public health practitioners can rapidly adapt strategies as new challenges emerge. This proactive approach accelerates learning cycles and reinforces a culture of preparedness and innovation, ensuring that both policy and practice remain responsive to the ever-changing landscape of global health threats. Learning from history saves lives. 

Dr. Mayigane leading a Rift Valley Fever outbreak investigation under heavy military escort in Menaka, a northern Mali region facing a protracted humanitarian crisis and occupied by multiple armed groups, October 2016.

What is an Early Action Review (EAR)? 

Early Action Reviews (EARs) are proactive tools in public health designed to detect and address emerging threats before they escalate into full-blown outbreaks. Rather than waiting for a crisis to develop, EARs promote a gradual learning process—emphasizing early detection, rapid notification, and swift response.  

Central to this methodology is the use of the 7-1-7 target, a common benchmark that assesses the effectiveness of clinical, laboratory, and public health detection and response systems. Specifically, this target means that emerging threats should be detected within seven days, reported to the appropriate authorities within one day, and a comprehensive response initiated within seven days. 

At the heart of the EAR approach is the integration of real-time data analysis with the practical insights of frontline responders and community stakeholders. This balanced method combines quantitative metrics—such as surveillance data and epidemiological trends—with qualitative observations from those directly involved in early response efforts. By merging these data sources, EARs offer a comprehensive picture of potential threats, facilitating a deeper understanding of both statistical trends and on-the-ground realities. 

A key tactic within EARs is the implementation of scenario-based simulations and drills. These exercises test the robustness of existing emergency response plans under various hypothetical conditions, thereby revealing critical gaps and opportunities for improvement. Regularly conducting these reviews ensures that response strategies remain dynamic and adaptable, with resources optimally allocated before an outbreak intensifies. 

Furthermore, EARs foster cross-sector collaboration by engaging experts from government, healthcare, and local communities. This collaborative framework builds a unified, flexible response system that is responsive to the complexities of real-world situations. Ultimately, EARs shift public health from a reactive, crisis-management stance to one of proactive preparedness and continuous learning.

By emphasizing early intervention, EARs not only help prevent local outbreaks from evolving into pandemics but also enhance the overall resilience of health systems, saving lives and equipping communities to face future public health challenges. 

How can countries work together to prepare in advance for emergencies? 

Public health emergencies, such as pandemics, do not respect national borders. To effectively respond, countries must proactively collaborate and develop synchronized preparedness plans. By employing standardized methodologies such as EARs, countries can effectively learn from each other regarding early detection, rapid notification, and swift response to public health emergencies. This shared approach enables countries to “speak the same language” through common tools and methodologies. 

Importantly, such collaboration among countries is encouraged by the International Health Regulations (IHR 2005), an international legal framework designed to prevent and manage public health risks. For example, Caribbean countries recently integrated EARs into their emergency preparedness strategies with support from the Pandemic Fund. In November 2024, a multi-country EAR exercise was organized by the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO), in collaboration with the World Health Organization (Headquarters), the Caribbean Public Health Agency (CARPHA), and the 7-1-7 Alliance.

This event brought together participants from 12 Caribbean nations to enhance their capacities in outbreak detection, notification, and response. The participating countries included Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, British Virgin Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Guyana, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago.  

Dr. Mayigane engaging elementary school students in Yomou, a prefecture in Guinea bordering Liberia, on Ebola prevention and vaccination, September 2015.

Each country contributed recent 7-1-7 target data from their most recent outbreak, and collectively, they explored strategies to integrate EARs into their national health systems. This exercise helped countries proactively identify shared threats, system failures, and good practices, harmonize response protocols, and build mutual trust. 

With the support of PAHO and CARPHA, such EAR exercises support Caribbean countries in developing cohesive regional strategies. These strategies will ensure rapid, effective, and collective action to prevent and swiftly control public health crises as they emerge, ultimately safeguarding both local populations and the global community. 

How does bringing together experts, such as public health researchers, other scientists, and emergency responders, help? 

Such collaboration and partnerships, like with the ISR, facilitate the sharing of experiential knowledge, ensuring that insights gained from real-world emergencies inform science and predictive models, thus improving preparedness for and responses to future emergencies. By fostering continuous dialogue and joint action, these collaborations build trust and coherence among diverse stakeholders, enabling more effective and coordinated responses to health crises.  

Moreover, integrating experiential knowledge and evidence-based science into decision-making processes enhances the adaptability and resilience of health systems, ultimately safeguarding communities worldwide. Everyone has a role to play in preventing the next pandemic. 


Disclaimer: Institutional affiliation is provided for identification purpose only and does not constitute institutional endorsement. Any views and opinions expressed are personal and belong solely to the individual and do not represent any people, institutions or organizations that the individual may be associated with in a personal or professional capacity unless explicitly stated 

Key Takeaways from ISR’s Global Survey on Cuts to Climate and Weather Data in US 

August 12, 2025
by ISR Staff
Blog

The US government is rapidly scaling back the collection, analysis, and availability of federal climate and weather datasets and systems. In the summer of 2025, the ISR surveyed its 20,000 members to better understand how these changes may impact researchers and experts across sectors, disciplines, and geographies.   

At the International Science Reserve, we want to understand the perspective of those who live and work outside of the US, but have relied on America’s “gold standard” climate and weather data and modeling for their own research.  

Survey respondents represented a variety of sectors and disciplines. Most that responded identified that they worked either in a professional sector (40%), such as emergency management or advising a municipality on disaster response—or are currently conducting research in a university setting (40%). Their expertise ranged throughout many disciplines, but environmental science, data science, and social science were some of the top areas of focus.  

Here are three major takeaways from the survey:  

1) Data cuts to US climate and weather data are already impacting researchers’ work.  

When asked whether changes to US federal climate and weather data in 2025 caused them to discontinue or significantly scale back this project, about 20% of participants said that their work was already impacted.   

The US has historically made data open and freely available to the world. 

One survey respondent, Dr. Fulya Aydin-Kandemir, a climate scientist and senior expert at the Climate Change and Zero Waste Department of Antalya Metropolitan Municipality in Türkiye, told the ISR that the global climate modeling system has benefited from the US open-source system: 

“We use many global data sources. But for decades, institutions like NASA and NOAA have set the global standard for Earth observation and climate science—providing a foundation upon which agencies like the European Space Agency (ESA) and The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) have also built their own impressive capabilities. Thanks to that legacy, we all became stronger in fighting climate change — together.” 

Dr. Fulya Aydin-Kandemir, a climate scientist from Türkiye and International Science Reserve member.

2) The majority of respondents were unsure about where they would go to replace US data given it has been the “gold standard” for decades.  

At the time of the survey in May and June 2025, nearly 60% of experts that responded were unsure where they would go to replace high-quality data. News reports have documented that scientists and citizens around the world are practicing “guerilla archiving,” meaning that they are downloading the existing databases before they are taken offline.   

Dr. Aydin-Kandemir noted that in a 2024 study of precipitation and snow cover analysis in the Central Taurus Mountains in southern Turkey, she found that US Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), which has measured global rainfall for nearly three decades, outperformed European data in their study areas. “It wasn’t about preference—it was about what worked for our region. These datasets helped us uncover real signals of climate change.” 

Recent reporting by Reuters in August found that the EU and European governments are planning new initiatives that mirror or possibly end their dependency on United States scientific data sets. 

3) The biggest concern for researchers is long-term gaps in climate modeling and data.  

Most experts who participated in the survey identified that the US cuts could lead to long-term consequences for understanding climate change and adequately preparing communities to for the impacts of climate change.  Additionally, less accurate extreme weather and reduced trust were also identified as top concerns among respondents.  

Dr. Aydin-Kandemir went on to tell the ISR, “If the U.S. cuts off access to these datasets, it’s not just a technical loss—it’s a loss of trust, of global cooperation, and of motivation. These tools represent decades of shared scientific progress. They make our work possible. In the face of the climate crisis, we need more collaboration—not isolation.” 


Whether or not you responded to our survey or are directly impacted, your perspective matters to the International Science Reserve.  

If you are an ISR member, please join us on the Digital Hub Discussion to further discuss your concerns and the potential consequences of cuts to US climate and weather data. Your perspective will help inform future programming, advocacy, and community support. 

Preparing for Abrupt Hazard Events with a Gamified Volcanic Eruption and Supply Chain Disruption Scenario 

May 15, 2025
by ISR Staff
Blog

Iceland recently marked the 15th anniversary of the eruption of its Eyjafjallajökull volcano, which erupted in 2010 and sent volcanic ash across Europe. The volcano’s impact brought Europe’s aviation system to a standstill with more than 100,000 canceled flights.   

Depending on the size and scale of an eruption, volcanic ash can blanket large areas of farmland, smother crops, and even make the soil less fertile while causing even further-reaching effects on global food security. The ash from the 2010 eruption not only coated and destroyed local Icelandic farmers’ agricultural fields, but the mass flight cancelations left farmers as far away as Kenya with rotting vegetables and thousands of workers were laid off.  

Eyjafjallajökull’s eruption was relatively small by global standards, yet contemporary volcanic eruptions provide important clues for researchers studying the vulnerability of interconnected global systems like aviation and food supply chains during a crisis—and how to strengthen them ahead of future hazards.  

Larger eruptions, such as Mount Pinatubo in 1991, spewed out enough sun blocking material to shade and cool the planet, leading to larger and longer-term climatic impacts. More recent research has shown that climate change may make the impact of volcanic eruptions wider by spreading ash further—causing more disruption and potential for a cool down in the climate. 

The summit caldera on August 1, 1991, a month and a half after the June 15 climactic eruption. (T. J. Casadevall, U.S. Geological Survey)

In the International Science Reserve’s latest “serious game,” the Volcanic Eruption Game, we put scientist in the driver’s seat to play out what they would do during a hypothetical volcanic eruption. In the game, a volcano erupts in Indonesia and injects dangerous levels of sulfur into the atmosphere.  

The game asks players to be decision-makers in crisis. Players must consider how the eruption will disrupt food supply chains around the world and how to reduce the scenario’s most harmful impacts. By playing this game, the players are able to explore how to respond to an abrupt hazard event like a volcanic eruption, and how their choices may change based on shifting situations, incomplete information, and risk assessments. 

The International Science Reserve, now a network of scientists more than 20,000 scientists and scientific institutions, uses games to simulate real-life scenarios or drills that can improve the capacity to collaborate, communicate, and make informed decisions in high-pressure crisis situations. Gamification through ISR’s suite of “serious games,” makes the experience of learning crisis preparedness skills more engaging for participants, encouraging wider participation, and contributing towards a culture of readiness. 

Ready to try it out yourself? Play the ISR’s Volcanic Eruption Game! Earn badges, climb the leaderboard, and be recognized as a top player and top contributor in a global scientific community. 

A hydrologist talks about working together to curb crises 

March 10, 2025
by ISR Staff
Blog

Dr. Kaushlendra Verma, a hydrologist from India and ISR community member, currently serves as a Post-Doctoral Fellow at Météo-France, in Toulouse. His research endeavors contribute significantly to our understanding of global hydrological systems and their dynamics, particularly in the context of climate change.  

Driven by a profound interest in monitoring and effectively managing freshwater resources, Dr. Verma employs innovative techniques such as remote sensing and satellite altimetry to collect crucial data on the topography of surface water and water level changes. His efforts aim to deepen our understanding of Earth’s intricate water dynamics and chart a course towards sustainable management of our planet’s most vital resource. 

Dr. Verma recently spoke to the International Science Reserve about his research and how the ISR can be useful for cross-border collaboration on crisis. 

Can you tell us a little bit more about your research?  

At Météo-France, my research focuses on understanding how climate change impacts Earth’s water dynamics, particularly regarding freshwater resources. Using advanced techniques like remote sensing, we’re uncovering new insights into the behavior of water-bodies, including rivers and lakes, under changing climatic conditions.  

One fascinating aspect we are discovering is the intricate relationship between precipitation patterns and hydrological processes, shedding light on how climate variability affects the availability and distribution of freshwater resources impacting ecosystems and human livelihoods at the global scale. 

Population growth, industrialization, and climate change are all pushing the boundaries of the global freshwater supply. What role do hydrologists play in helping decision-makers understand these risks?

Hydrologists play a crucial role in providing valuable insights to decision-makers regarding freshwater management and sustainability. Through meticulous analysis of vast datasets and sophisticated modeling techniques, we assess the risks associated with freshwater scarcity and help devise effective mitigation strategies.  

Whether it’s optimizing water allocation, developing resilient infrastructure, or guiding international agreements on trans-boundary water resources, hydrologists provide the scientific foundation for informed decision-making at both local and global levels, ensuring the long-term viability of freshwater resources for future generations. 

Recent events underscore the urgency of scientific insights in water management. In Sudan’s Arbaat Dam collapse (August 2024), extreme rainfall led to catastrophic failure, displacing communities and highlighting vulnerabilities in water infrastructure. Similarly, the 2024–2025 floods across Southeast and South Asia have affected millions, emphasizing the need for accurate hydrological forecasts and adaptive management strategies. 

Beyond disasters, hydrologists also support proactive crisis prevention. In case of Cape Town, South Africa, which faced a severe water crisis in 2018 due to a combination of drought, population growth, and inadequate water infrastructure. Hydrologists were instrumental in analyzing rainfall patterns, groundwater levels, and reservoir capacities to forecast water availability accurately. Their research enabled policymakers to implement water-saving measures, such as rationing and infrastructure upgrades, to avert a catastrophic water shortage. 

Furthermore, in response to the ongoing drought crisis in the Western United States, hydrologists have been actively involved in water resource management efforts. With shrinking snow-pack, dwindling reservoir levels, and increasing competition for water among various stakeholders, hydrologists employ advanced modeling techniques to forecast water availability, assess drought impacts, and develop adaptive strategies. By collaborating with policymakers, hydrologists help inform decisions on water allocation, conservation measures, and long-term planning to mitigate the effects of drought on ecosystems and communities. 

The UN recently stated that we are “careering towards a global water crisis,” with a 40% shortfall in freshwater resources predicted by 2030 and called for increased global cooperation. What are the benefits to collaborating more across borders, and across disciplines to better manage freshwater systems? 

Collaboration across borders and disciplines holds immense promise in addressing the complex challenges of freshwater management on a global scale. For example, the flow of water in some rivers may be governed by agreements between countries. However, monitoring this flow can be problematic for both technical and economic reasons. By fostering international cooperation, hydrologists can share expertise, data, and best practices, facilitating more holistic and effective approaches to freshwater conservation and management. 

Moreover, interdisciplinary collaboration amplifies the impact of hydrology research by integrating insights from diverse fields such as ecology, economics, and governance. For instance, the Nile Basin Initiative brings together hydrologists, economists, and policymakers from riparian countries to address shared challenges in water management. By combining hydrological modeling with socioeconomic analysis and stakeholder engagement, interdisciplinary teams develop inclusive water governance frameworks and equitable allocation mechanisms that promote cooperation and mitigate conflicts. 

In another example, the Mekong River Basin in Southeast Asia spans multiple countries and supports millions of livelihoods. Hydrologists from countries like China, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam collaborate to monitor water flow, sediment transport, and ecosystem health in the basin. By sharing hydrological data and conducting joint research, these scientists facilitate informed decision-making on dam operations, flood management, and sustainable water use, fostering cooperation and reducing the risk of conflicts over water resources. 

Why did you join the International Science Reserve, and why would you encourage others to join? 

My decision to join the International Science Reserve (ISR) stems from its invaluable role as a platform for fostering global scientific collaboration and knowledge exchange. ISR provides a unique opportunity for researchers from diverse backgrounds to come together, share insights, and collaborate on addressing pressing global challenges.  

By joining the ISR, researchers gain access to a vast network of experts, resources, and opportunities for collaboration, enabling them to amplify the impact of their research and contribute meaningfully to advancing scientific knowledge and addressing global challenges. 

Using genomic sequencing to treat disease in the Horn of Africa 

March 10, 2025
by ISR Staff
Blog

Souad Elmi is an ISR community member and public health microbiologist who works in the National Reference Laboratory at Peltier General Hospital in Djibouti. She has experience in medical laboratory and public health initiatives, including infection control, epidemiology, antimicrobial stewardship, malaria, and tuberculosis (TB).  

She is passionate about using genomic sequencing to identify and treat the complicated diseases that plague her region in the Horn of Africa.

The International Science Reserve spoke to Souad about her goals to achieve health, sustainability, and well-being for all people. 

How did you get started in public health?  

My journey into public health and infection control began with my work as a medical laboratory scientist, where I witnessed the devastating impact of infectious diseases, particularly TB, HIV, which are complicated by antimicrobial resistance. Seeing patients suffer from preventable and treatable illnesses due to gaps in diagnostics and public health interventions motivated me to specialize in public health microbiology. My passion for health equity and disease prevention grew as I realized the urgent need for improved surveillance, diagnostics, and sustainable solutions to control infectious diseases in vulnerable populations, especially in the Horn of Africa. 

What projects are you currently working on?

Currently, I am working on molecular diagnostics related to TB in the National Reference Laboratory at Peltier General Hospital in Djibouti. My research focuses on drug resistance patterns and genomic sequencing to track TB strains and improve treatment strategies. Additionally, I am involved in antimicrobial stewardship initiatives, aiming to combat antibiotic resistance through laboratory-based surveillance and policy recommendations. These projects are crucial in strengthening disease control efforts and informing public health interventions in the region. 

Djibouti has one of the higher rates of tuberculosis in the world, but in recent years, the country has made efforts to reduce that number and close the gap. What have you seen as successful practices on this public health issue?  

Djibouti has made significant progress in TB control through enhanced case detection, rapid molecular diagnostics, and patient-centered treatment approaches. The introduction of GeneXpert technology, which allows for the detection of specific genetic material in a biological sample using a technique called nucleic acid amplification, has improved early detection of drug-resistant TB by reducing the time to acquiring diagnostic results from weeks to hours. Community-based interventions have increased treatment adherence by patients. Strengthening laboratory capacity and integrating TB care with HIV services have also played a vital role in reducing TB incidence. However, investment in genomic surveillance, social support programs, and health system strengthening is essential to further close the gap. 

What more could scientists be doing to work together on persistent public health issues that you study, like malaria and tuberculosis?  

Scientists need to foster greater collaboration in genomic research, data sharing, and interdisciplinary approaches to tackling infectious diseases. Strengthening regional laboratory networks, expanding access to sequencing technologies, and integrating artificial intelligence for disease surveillance can significantly enhance early detection and response efforts. Additionally, partnerships between researchers, policymakers, and local communities are crucial to developing sustainable solutions that address both biomedical and social determinants of health. Investing in capacity-building and mentorship programs will also empower young scientists in resource-limited settings to contribute meaningfully to public health advancements. 

Why did you join the ISR, and why would you encourage others to join too? 

I joined the ISR because I believe in the power of scientific collaboration to address global health crises, particularly in regions facing resource constraints. Being part of an international network allows me to engage with experts from diverse fields, access cutting-edge research, and contribute to global preparedness efforts for emerging diseases. I encourage others to join ISR to collaborate on innovative solutions, share expertise, and strengthen scientific resilience in the face of complex public health challenges. Together, we can drive impactful change and improve health outcomes worldwide. 

Meet ISR’s new Program Manager 

February 3, 2025
by ISR Staff
Blog

The International Science Reserve (ISR) is pleased to announce that Christopher Moore has joined our team as Program Manager.  

Chris comes to the ISR with 15 years of international leadership experience in the public and private sectors ranging from international development and crisis response at the International Rescue Committee, aiding refugees from the Syrian Civil War, in addition to his service as a Special Operations Intelligence Officer in the United States Air Force and as an international volunteer in the Ukraine conflict.   

We recently spoke with Chris about his hopes and goals for the ISR in the next few years.  

Why does the world need the International Science Reserve at this moment?  

As the complexity and quantity of crises around the world increase, new challenges will emerge that will require continuous learning and adaptation to address them. Many governments and institutions lack the capacity or expertise to prepare and address all possible scenarios—especially crises that may be unforeseen. The ISR can help address this challenge by tapping into a deep bench of scientists on an as-needed basis without the cost and complexity that would arise if each institution or government tried to address all possible crisis scenarios with their own staff.  

No one institution can be everywhere, but via the ISR, institutions can be connected to ISR’s community of scientists who are ready around the globe and eager to be of assistance when the world needs their expertise.  The world needs the ISR to help create those relationships and foster a community of practice around continuous learning and preparation across disciplines and borders. 

What lessons will you bring from your prior work to help train scientists to act when a major, cross-border emergency hits? 

In any crisis, the time it takes to respond is the most critical factor in saving lives and reducing harm. When dealing with disasters, there are also snowball effects. If a situation becomes not just linearly worse, but exponentially worse, problems become intractable. Especially if problems are not addressed before a tipping point. Anything that can be done to shorten the response window during a crisis is worth resolving before a crisis happens.   For example, during the pandemic, governments delayed evidence-based mitigation efforts, such as reducing travel. This, in turn, allowed the pathogen to spread rapidly around the globe when it may have been possible to curtail its spread to a particular region. 

I have learned that preparedness exercises that teach you the basic skills of addressing a disaster become invaluable when a crisis hits. Even simple things like decision trees, templates, checklists, pre-identified groups and communication channels, and pre-existing relationships with institutions and practitioners can be invaluable in high stress and high stakes situations. 

Given the volatile nature of social media and online dialogue lately, what positive role can the ISR play in bringing scientists together online to collaborate in the ISR’s Digital Hub? 

Having a separate discussion environment for scientists to collaborate with each other can mitigate the volatility of other platforms and help them focus on the important tasks at hand. Part of fostering a focused crisis response community is making sure that everyone participating is there for the same goal: to learn and share resources. 

Further, given how easy it is to misinterpret complex data or draw conclusions from scientific studies, and the difficulty all institutions have with navigating the mass media environment, our network of scientists will likely find it more effective to collaborate amongst themselves. This is important before they address the wider public in a crisis scenario where it becomes even more important to practice good communication and establish trust that may be difficult to recover once a misinterpretation or misinformation has traveled around the world. 

What are your hopes and goals for the International Science Reserve in 2-3 years

My hope is for ISR to grow not only its network of scientists, but also its relationships with private and public institutions, so that no matter where in the world a crisis develops, we are ready to help via our access to the top minds and resources everywhere. Since we are relatively new, my goal is to develop a community of practice among the world’s scientists, with a library of best practices, case studies, realistic scenarios, planning exercises, and “serious games.” We want to become a go-to resource when a crisis requires scientific expertise. 

Isolationism will make science less effective

December 23, 2024
by Mila Rosenthal
Blog

Increasing global scientific cooperation is fundamental to the mission of the International Science Reserve. Effective collaboration will positively impact how we solve global challenges.

The COVID-19 pandemic was a global human disaster. But the damage done could have been even worse had the spread of the virus not been countered by vaccines, diagnostics, and therapeutics, all developed by the medical and bioscience community at breakneck speed. In that success story, the people involved in the response tend to highlight one vital but often publicly overlooked ingredient: global scientific cooperation.

Could we achieve that level of international collaboration again? There are plenty of reasons to worry that we couldn’t.  

First, over the past few years, we have witnessed intensifying economic and political competition between the United States and an increasingly assertive China. This rivalry is being played not just in tariffs, but in increased security restrictions on commercial technology exchanges and scientific collaboration.  

An article by Keisuke Okamura last year in Quantitative Science Studies, the official journal of the international association of researchers who study the metrics of science, analyzed the impact of these tensions on scientific collaboration. Using data from published papers, Okamura found that the United States and China, after rapidly moving closer together for decades, had been moving apart since 2019.

Adding to this seismic shift in global relationships will be the potential impact of the new administration and its “America First” protectionist approach to supply chains, international climate standards, and public health cooperation. This potentially threatens our collective ability to respond to new and unexpected crises, as well as those we know too well. A recent Rand Corporation assessment of Global Catastrophic Risk found higher risk levels for hazards from sudden and severe changes to Earth’s climate, nuclear war, artificial intelligence, and pandemics from natural occurrence or synthetic biology.

Whether it is climate change, the need to build ethical standards for AI, geoengineering, or gene editing— all are science-based challenges that can only be addressed by global level collaboration. Encouragingly, the Okamura paper shows that the overwhelming trend towards international scientific cooperation over the past 50 years has been positive, with scientists from many institutions and countries in multiple scientific disciplines routinely working together.

It is crucial to the future of science that we develop new ways of being proactive, operating cohesively to promote solutions, safety, and stability across borders even as official relationships between states become more difficult. At the International Science Reserve (ISR) at The New York Academy of Sciences (the Academy), we have been promoting pathways for scientific cooperation, building a community that I believe can help function as a communal safeguard in the face of the threat posed by the scientific isolationist model.

Tens of thousands of scientists from more than 100 countries have signed up to the ISR network to be ready to work together in response to future cross-border crises. We help train and prepare scientists and experts on how to handle disasters, crises, and instability—and how to identify and get access to additional resources when needed.

Doomsday Scenarios

Since it is our job to think about doomsday scenarios, let’s talk through one.

Another pandemic hits. Politics— whether institutional or governmental have blocked researchers and medical professionals from different countries from talking, collaborating, and sharing data. Such lack of collaboration results in it becoming harder for us to understand why some regions of the world are being hit harder than others, because we lack the data to understand why. Meanwhile, scientists in other regions have the answer, but they are not sharing it. Lives are lost, economies wrecked, and we are all less safe. This is obviously a scary scenario.

The ISR was developed with the express goal of circumventing the barriers to collaboration. We help researchers talk to each other to build trust and share ideas through our digital hub. We develop games and scenarios to help them better prepare for decision-making in their own contexts when crises hit.

Customized Digital Games

This year, for example, we partnered with the Center for Advanced Preparedness and Threat Response Simulation (CAPTRS) to build customized digital games to test how policymakers make decisions based on evolving scientific information during a crisis. We run scenarios on different kinds of crises—from extreme heat, mega wildfires, and floods to crop failures and new pathogen outbreaks—and we have explored and increased access to the data modelling and analysis tools that researchers need to respond to those. We also celebrate the work of ISR network members and uplift the stories of those who understand firsthand science’s role in global crisis response and help the public to better understand why this matters.

In our hypothetical scenario, the ISR is one of the spaces where scientists are communicating, generating support for each other, and sharing insights. They then can take that research and information back to their local contexts to strengthen their response. Of course, this scenario is hypothetical and high-level and perhaps idealistic. But at this moment, we need a clear vision to work together across borders to reduce harm and save lives.

We can’t predict what will happen next. Science can’t tell us what the day-to-day decisions of world leaders will be. But what we do know is global problems can only be effectively solved through sustained scientific collaboration. To achieve that we need to turn outward, not just inward.

Mila Rosenthal, PhD is the Executive Director of the International Science Reserve

Ready, set, respond: How playing an outbreak simulation game helps scientists prepare for the next pandemic

October 3, 2024
by Mila Rosenthal
Blog

The International Science Reserve’s new “serious game” puts players in the hot seat to test their decision-making skills.

Since COVID-19 hit in 2020, there have been hundreds of articles in journals and mainstream news outlets analyzing the shortcomings in the global response to the pandemic, and how we can learn from our collective mistakes. One of those articles last year, an op-Ed by Bill Gates for The New York Times, called on the world to think about what we can do now to better prepare the world for future outbreaks.  

His advice? Prepare for outbreaks like firefighters tackle blazes: run drills, have dedicated teams of volunteers on standby, and build on existing expertise across institutions and specialties. The International Science Reserve (ISR), an initiative of The New York Academy of Sciences, has been working to build this exact model.

We have spent the last few years cultivating a reserve of over 11,000 scientists across 100 countries in nearly three dozen specialties who want to prepare and act when the next big crisis hits. We support them for future crises by building tools that break down borders and help them collaborate before the fire starts.

Gaming for Good

This August, we proudly launched a new digital game that simulates a pathogen outbreak, just like a fire drill. The Pathogen Outbreak Game, available with free membership to the ISR, puts our network in the hot seat. In the game scenario, players act as a public health director as an unknown pathogen emerges. The game asks you to consider: What would you do differently if we experienced a crisis of the same scale and scope? What decisions would you make if you could call the shots during the next pandemic?

Developed in partnership with the Center for Advanced Preparedness and Threat Response Simulation (CAPTRS), the game challenges players to navigate an evolving, hypothetical public health crisis, evaluating new information that is shared as the game progresses. When a crisis hits, there are complex decisions that leaders must make to protect people and reduce the impact on society and the environment. To simulate real-world situations, players are presented with dynamic information and surveillance data about an unknown pathogen outbreak.

In a series of game rounds, players are asked to practice their decision-making skills using data to identify outbreak trends and better prepare for and reduce the public health threat. This trailer demonstrates the basics of the Pathogen Outbreak Game:

The Next Pandemic and Building a “Culture of Readiness”

So, why games? Our research found that simulating real-life scenarios or drills can improve the capacity to collaborate, communicate, and make informed decisions in high-pressure crisis situations. Gamification also makes the experience of learning crisis preparedness skills more engaging for participants, encouraging wider participation and contributing towards a culture of readiness.

Our gamification-related literature review found that points, badges, and leadership boards are the best way to turn these drills into games. After they complete the game exercise, players are then encouraged to discuss their experiences with fellow scientists and experts in the ISR’s network and promote their achievements through digital badging on social media.

We do not know when another outbreak will happen, so in the meantime we need to quickly learn and grow from our mistakes, and better collaborate across disciplines and borders to save lives and reduce harm. The digital pathogen game can help build a “culture of readiness” and accustom policymakers to assessing different sources of scientific information to make decisions. It can also help scientists explore how their research could be prioritized and adapted when most needed. Together, we could build a more resilient future, one game at a time.

Are You Ready for the Challenge?

Ready to jump in? Then join us and play the ISR’s new Pathogen Outbreak Game! Earn badges, climb the leaderboard, and be recognized as a top player and top contributor in a global scientific community.  

Not a member of this inclusive and impactful community? Join the ISR today.

Scientists and experts can help prepare for record shattering heatwaves

August 5, 2024
by ISR Staff
Blog

Last year, the world shattered a record we never should have hit: our warmest year ever.  In response, UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres remarked that we are in an “era of global boiling,” as he called for swift action on human-induced climate change.  So far in 2024, global temperatures have continued to break monthly records as prolonged heatwaves are impacting millions of people worldwide, from India to Mexico. 

Researchers from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) also found that for the average person on Earth, there would be 26 additional days of extreme heat this year, compared to if climate change was not happening. In certain regions of the world, that number reaches as high as an extra 120 days.  

Urban residents, who represent more than 55% of the world’s population, are particularly at risk from these warmer temperatures due to urban heat islands (UHIs), which occur when a city’s infrastructure, like roads, parking lots, and rooftops, absorb and remit heat more than natural landscapes like forests. In effect, UHI makes urban environments hotter than rural locations. 

The greenhouse gas emissions that humans have already emitted into the atmosphere means that extreme heat is not going away anytime soon, even if we rapidly reach climate targets and zero emissions. That’s why, as a network of scientists and experts concerned about crisis, we can be thinking of new ways to collaborate to inform, prepare, and reduce harm to humans and ecological systems during extreme heat waves.  

The Limits of Heat on the Human Body 

Climate change is already affecting human health. There are risks to human bodies from extreme heat, particularly for residents in cities, and within communities that are more vulnerable to its adverse impacts.  Extreme heat is more dangerous for children, older adults, and outdoor workers – particularly those who do not have labor protections to keep them safe. 

Of particular concern to human health is when heat and humidity remain high in combination, especially at night. It becomes difficult for the body to rest, relax, and stabilize – and that can put the body under significant stress.  

More and more experts are calling for decisionmakers to gauge upcoming risks to the public by using a wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) reading versus temperature alone. WBGT is measured through temperature, humidity, wind speed, sun angle, and cloud cover. Tropical and coastline cities, for example, are already reaching critical “wet bulb” temperatures, where the human body cannot cool down through its normal sweating process because sweat is not able to evaporate in high humidity. Dry heat is cooler for the body, for this reason. 

Experts define 95 degrees Fahrenheit (35 degrees Celsius) as the upper limit of WGBT for young and healthy people. During India’s recent heatwave, the WGBT reached at least 100 degrees (37.8 degrees Celsius), making the chances of heat exhaustion, stroke, and even death much higher for vulnerable populations. 

Cities in China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, the Arabian Peninsula, and the African Sahel are among the highest risk zones for dangerous levels of WGBT.  Jacobabad, Pakistan is often called one of the hottest cities on earth and has experienced at least four extreme wet bulb events in recent years. Many cities lack the infrastructure or resources to deal with extreme heat, in some cases because in the past they did not need it. 

Understanding the Toll of Extreme Heat 

Unlike hurricanes, earthquakes, or tornadoes, heat disasters often go unseen by decisionmakers because the public health impacts often happen inside homes or go undiagnosed by health professionals as heat related.  

In the US, the National Weather Service (NWS) cites that heat has been the deadliest form of extreme weather over the last decade. But many researchers believe current counts of heat illnesses death are vastly underestimated. In sub-Saharan Africa, for example, there is little to no accurate tracking of heat deaths.  In 2022, a groundbreaking study found that approximately 70,000 people died in Europe due to the summer’s extreme heat. Europe is considered the fastest warming inhabited continent, and many countries lack common cooling mechanisms, such as air conditioning, in older buildings.   

Additionally, the burden of heat is not often shared equally. In India after recent heatwaves, schools closed, agricultural supply chains were disrupted, and workers lost significant income. According to a recent report by the UN, the rising temperatures in India will reduce daily working hours by at least 5.8 percent by 2030. Loss of economic opportunity also acutely impacts women and girls

 
What Experts Can Do to Respond and Save Lives 

Just like with a hurricane or earthquake, the world’s most vulnerable cities need stronger preparation and mitigation measures to prevent and reduce severe health impacts. First and foremost, the rapid phaseout of fossil fuels is the most critical step to take to reduce harm.  

Second, if scientists and health experts begin to treat extreme heat like other disasters, the public will be equipped with more tools to take the proper steps to help prepare for it. Early warning systems remain as one of the most effective ways to keep people safe, and countries with “limited early warning systems” are experiencing heat-related deaths at a rate eight times higher than countries that have comprehensive warning services. 

In the US, the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and NWS recently created a new scale that helps the public gauge health risks associated with extreme heat. HeatRisk considers several factors, such as time of year and length of heatwave, and models where elevated risks exist to help leaders better communicate on a clear scale of 1-4.  

Scientists and health experts can also help the public better understand what to do once a warning about elevated risk occurs, including educating them on action steps like:  

  • Having a plan to acclimatize your body safely over time by gradually increasing activity outdoors,  
  • Staying in cool environments, 
  • Hydrating quickly and drinking electrolytes, when possible, 
  • Removing restrictive layers and wearing light layers, 
  • Taking a cold shower or bath when overheated, 
  • Avoiding alcohol and caffeine, and 
  • Reducing work in the sun. 

Several major cities have also taken to hiring Chief Heat Officers who create Heat Action Plans, or roadmaps to help urban dwellers deal with heat. The World Economic Forum and Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller Foundation Resilience Center (Arsht-Rock) also created the Heat Action Platform, a free online resource that provides cities with tools to assess, plan, implement, and evaluate their heat plans.  

Energy supply is also critical to preparations. Given the pressure on the energy grid in many countries, there has been an increase in rolling or prolonged blackouts due to high demand during heatwaves. Air conditioning therefore cannot be seen as the only stable solution to cool down. In just one month in Mexico, for example, over 32 states including Mexico City experienced blackouts. The loss of power can lead to life-threatening situations for people with disabilities, health conditions, and older adults. In the mid- to long-term, in order to reduce harm in many countries, there needs to be major updates to the power grid that are powered by renewable energy and stabilized through weatherizing of buildings for energy efficiency and planting more trees for shade and cool roofs. 

If you want to learn more about how to collaborate with other researchers on scientific issues related to heatwaves, please join the International Science Reserve and RSVP for our upcoming heat webinar at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA)’s Science Summit this September. 

Combining climate data with local knowledge for disaster preparedness   

August 5, 2024
by ISR Staff
Blog

Abiola I. Agnontcheme is an environmental sustainability expert from Republic of Benin. He currently leads as the Country Director for Ecoclimate Vision Benin, which is a team of 40 national representatives with different backgrounds. Ecoclimate Benin partners with governments, businesses, and civil society organizations to collectively address the challenges of climate change worldwide.  

He also works to translate climate change information from reputable sources into various languages spoken across the Global South. By providing localized content, Abiola can ensure that more people can access climate information in a language they understand, fostering greater awareness, engagement and contributing to community resilience. 
 
Abiola recently spoke to the International Science Reserve about environmental risk management in the Global South, and how the ISR can be useful for increased cross-border collaboration on crisis.  

You take climate data and information and translate it to Global South audiences. Can you tell us more about that process?   

The information we share is sourced from reputable organizations, such as the UN Environmental Program (UNEP), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and the United Nations Framework on Climate Change (UNFCC).   The information in English is shared via a Country WhatsApp Group which is translated in respective local languages. We shared quantitative and qualitative scientific data via community platforms and media to make it accessible to farmers, producers, and particularly vulnerable communities on the frontline of climate change impacts. We have also reached out online to our audience through social media sites like LinkedIn, Facebook and WhatsApp Group. 
 

What are some of the challenges of not having localized and translated scientific data and information on climate change? 

Ecoclimate Vision Benin works with more than 30 communities and partners in Benin. We do not always have the adequate vocabulary or specific words in local languages to make concepts clear for vulnerable communities within Ecoclimate Vision’s network. “Climate change,” for example, does not have an equivalent phrase when we are translating into a local language called Fongbe. The community who speaks Fongbe lives in southern Benin near River Oueme and many work in agriculture and fishing. Both industries are affected by the climate crisis.   
 

Can you share more about your plans for community-based disaster risk reduction with governments, businesses and civil society?  

We intend to collaborate with governments, businesses, and civil society organizations to design and implement climate change mitigation and adaptation projects. We are interested in flood resilience building and preparedness for our community which is the most frequently impacted by disasters in Benin; causing disruption within the community social system and disturbing livelihoods.
  

Why is it important to you do work with others outside your own discipline, country or region when it comes to disaster risk reduction?  

Life is a learning process. I need to be open minded in learning new approaches that could be helpful for our vulnerable communities to sustain their livelihoods and continue supplying food and natural resources to our cities and markets. It’s beneficial to work with others to learn and gain expertise to use when disaster strikes in the world.  Seasoned and well-prepared scientists can provide the meaningful expertise needed before and during a time of disaster. 

Why did you join the International Science Reserve, and why would you encourage others to join? 

I joined the ISR for the benefit of my country and community. We are one of the countries that is most exposed geographically to adverse climatic events, like flooding. which has caused long-term trauma; and disrupted food supply chains and environmental services. I also wanted to build my knowledge and expand my network on disasters to be prepared in advance. I would like to encourage others from any scientific sector in my region to join to learn and be useful for our community. The more people are prepared, the less harmful impacts there will be. 

Researchers are invited to join our science community - a borderless global network of leading scientists from around the world. Join the community today to stay updated and learn how you can participate.